Special Analysis

THE HORN OF AFRICA: INCREASING INTEREST OF SIGNIFICANT GEOPOLITICAL ACTORS

Several recent developments but mostly the increasing military presence of some powerful international actors are attracting the analysts’ attention towards the Horn of Africa, one of the most complex and conflicted regions of the world. For the last 150 years, the Horn has been a theater for strategic power struggles: …

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THE MOJAHEDINE E-KHALQ (MKO) (CASE STUDY)

Several events in the last few months, especially in the context of the process of re-examining some major topics of Washington’s foreign policy – including the relationship with Iran – brought to the attention the Mojahedine e-Khalq (MKO)[1], a controversial anti-Tehran regime group with a complex history dating from the …

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NIGERIA 2017: THE BOKO HARAM LEGACY AND THE NIGER DELTA INSURGENCIES (case study)   In the last days of 2016 it was announced that Nigeria’s army has captured Boko Haram’s last enclave in the Sambisa forest (Borno state, north-east of Nigeria). According to Nigeria’s President, Muhammadu Buhari, the capture marked …

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TURKEY: A CHANGING INTERNAL AND GEOPOLITICAL SCENE

The 15 July 2016 failed coup attempt against Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and, on the other hand, Ankara’s recent re-orientation of its foreign policy towards Russia, Israel and Iran, including its August military intervention in Syria are seen by most analysts as signs of a changing trend not only …

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THE EU ENLARGEMENT AFTER BREXIT Case Study: the Western Balkans

Among the complex consequences of United Kingdom’s recent decision to withdraw from the European Union (Brexit), one of the main problems for the Union’s leaders – indeed, a component of the EU’s future – is the EU enlargement process, notably the accession of the six countries of the Western Balkans …

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GEOPOLITICS: A CENTURY-OLD SCIENCE TO ASSESS THE FUTURE

Several international developments during the first half of the year 2014, such as the situation in Ukraine and the Russian annexation of Crimea, China’s claims in its coastal waters and the new strategy of Japan, or Iran’s moves to acquire a dominant position in the Muslim world, brought back to …

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‘BREXIT’: REGIONAL AND GEOPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES

The “United Kingdom European Union membership referendum”, also known as the EU referendum, which is scheduled to take place in the United Kingdom and Gibraltar on 23 June 2016, is seen by many local and international observers as an important moment in the history of both the United Kingdom and …

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THE “INTERMARIUM”: A CENTURY-OLD SECURITY DOCTRINE REVISITED

Recent developments a) On February 2, U.S. Defense Secretary Ashton Carter unveiled plans to add more heavy weapons and armored vehicles to prepositioned stocks in Eastern Europe in order to give the Pentagon two brigade sets worth of heavy equipment on NATO’s eastern frontier. The White House plans to pay …

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DAESH: FROM THE RED SEA TO THE ATLANTIC; CASE STUDY: SOMALIA

Born out of the Iraqi War in 2003, Daesh has stretched across the Middle East and into northern-Africa where today only the Mediterranean Sea separates the militants from Europe. It has conquered regions of Iraq, Syria and Libya while building a strong support structure in Turkey, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Egypt’s Sinai Province, …

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FRANCE: LOSING THE STATUS OF REGIONAL POWER

The November 13 Daesh attacks in Paris, followed shortly by the hostage-taking by al-Mourabitune at the Radisson Blu Hotel in Bamako, the capital of Mali, an African country supposedly defended by France, brought into the light not only the failure of the Western approach of the current international terrorism, but …

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