Key Takeaways Prospects for meaningful US-Iran negotiations remain low as Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Commander Major General Ahmad Vahidi and his inner circle continue to dominate Iran’s decision-making and oppose compromise. ISW-CTP assessed that in recent days, the IRGC has sidelined civilian officials and that Iran’s negotiating team lacks …
Read More »Four scenarios for geopolitics after the Iran war
After more than a month of war and amid an uneasy cease-fire, Iran announced Friday that it would reopen the Strait of Hormuz for ships traveling a pre-approved route, while President Donald Trump vowed to continue a US blockade on Iranian ships. Both sides are still negotiating a deal to …
Read More »Battered but not broken: The status of Iran’s post-war ballistic missile arsenal
A leading objective of the US-Israeli war against Iran that began on 28 February and ended with a tenuous two-week ceasefire on 8 April was the destruction of Iran’s ballistic missile program. Despite thousands of unrelenting targeted strikes, Tehran reportedly still possesses much of its ballistic missile arsenal, and perhaps …
Read More »L’Iran, enjeu mondial : quel rôle jouent la Russie et la Chine ?
L’aide discrète de Moscou et de Pékin a largement contribué au renforcement de la riposte asymétrique de Téhéran, ce qui a affaibli la machine de guerre américaine. Alors que l’agression militaire israélo-américaine contre l’Iran, qui a rapidement dégénéré en guerre régionale, annonce une crise énergétique plus grave que celle de …
Read More »Iran Update Special Report, April 22, 2026
Key TakeawaysThe Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Navy attacked and likely redirected two vessels towards Iran on April 22, likely to enforce Iranian claims of sovereignty over the strait to disrupt global shipping and extract US concessions. The IRGC also may have redirected the two vessels in response to the …
Read More »Demonized Iran – A Tale Told By An Idiot
The current failing effort to make Iran out to be a major threat to world peace starts the clock at 1979 in its propaganda effort to justify U.S. aggression against Teheran, which deliberately overlooks the events of 1953, when a joint U.S.-British effort overthrew the then secular Iranian government in …
Read More »U.S.-Iranian negotiations: uncertainty
Negotiations between the United States and Iran since the first round in Islamabad reflect a stagnation of stumbling over disagreements over key issues such as the nuclear program and mechanisms to stop the war. At the same time, Washington has stepped up pressure through the naval blockade and sanctions, along …
Read More »US Bases Iran Will Eliminate If the War Returns and More Delusional Nonsense from Sy Hersh
Most of the US military bases and facilities in the Persian Gulf (listed below) have been hit by Iran during the first five weeks of the war. And many of these are no longer operating or have been effectively destroyed. The US Naval base in Bahrain is no longer operational …
Read More »Severly wounded Mojtaba Khamenei delegates power to generals as military takes control of Iran: Report
New Supreme Leader remains in hiding with severe burns and limb injuries after February airstrike; Revolutionary Guard commanders emerge as dominant decision-makers in ‘board of directors’ governance Iran’s newly appointed Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is currently governing from an undisclosed hideout while struggling to recover from catastrophic injuries sustained in …
Read More »Trump Mocks Tehran Leadership Chaos, Claims Grip on Hormuz – Iran Hits Back
President Trump recently commented on the turmoil within Iran’s leadership, emphasizing the ongoing power struggle following the late Supreme Leader Khamenei’s death. President Donald J. Trump took to Truth Social on Thursday to highlight what he sees as deep confusion and infighting inside Iran’s fractured leadership, while boasting that the …
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