How the U.S.-Iran showdown has shattered the myth of an “unsinkable” defense umbrella—and why the Gulf monarchies are quietly shopping for a new guarantor. The “Oil-for-Protection” Deal That BackfiredFor generations, the strategic bargain between Washington and the Persian Gulf monarchies was strikingly straightforward: The United States guarantees the territorial integrity …
Read More »Red Sea becomes ‘lesser evil’ as Hormuz risks mount
The Red Sea is becoming the “lesser evil” for shipowners, analysts said, as uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz outweighs the threat posed by Yemen’s Houthi militants. The Iranian-backed rebels began attacking commercial vessels in the Red Sea and its southern gateway at Bab el-Mandeb in late 2023, prompting most …
Read More »Iran attacks Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar with drones and missiles after US strikes
Three people including child hurt by falling debris in Kuwait; Qatar condemns ‘dangerous escalation’ after being hit for first time since April; Iranian soldier killed in US attacks Iran fired missiles and drones at Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar early Sunday in response to widespread American strikes, as a flare-up …
Read More »À la frontière irakienne, l’Iran multiplie les attaques contre les groupes dissidents kurdes
Les forces militaires iraniennes ont récemment mené des frappes aériennes massives contre les bases militaires de milices kurdes iraniennes, situées au Kurdistan irakien (nord – ouest). Ces attaques, sans précédent, témoignent de la crainte de Téhéran de voir ces milices devenir plus offensives à la faveur de l’instabilité générée par …
Read More »The US-Iran War and Greater Eurasia
It would not be much of an exaggeration to say that, in recent years, the Islamic Republic of Iran has been regarded by many observers as, if not the “weak link” in that part of humanity striving for a fairer world order, then, at the very least, the member of …
Read More »Kurdish Rebel Groups Are Wary of Tehran’s Next Move
Following its deal with the United States, Iran may act against Iraq-based dissidents. On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched a massive, coordinated military operation against Iran. During the subsequent war, Iran carried out hundreds of drone and missile strikes on exiled Iranian Kurdish militant groups in …
Read More »Is Iran becoming a post-Islamic society?
Washington and Tehran signed a memorandum of understanding that has not stopped the exchange of fire in the Gulf but has already produced a renewed and more aggressive repression campaign inside Iran. This crackdown can be understood as the regime’s response to Iranians who had begun to imagine what their …
Read More »The Failure of Israel’s Foreign Policy and the Emergence of a New Middle Eastern Security Order
Israel’s recent regional strategy has exposed significant limitations in achieving its long-term foreign policy objectives, illustrating the widening gap between military operations and strategic success. While Iran’s resilience and diplomatic positioning have accelerated the emergence of a more multipolar and diplomatically driven Middle Eastern security order. Carl von Clausewitz once …
Read More »The US War on Iran Continues
The US continues to playact diplomacy with Iran regarding the latest “memorandum of understanding” (MOU) signed, then immediately violated by the US, renegotiated, and supposedly agreed upon again — using the pause in all-out war to carefully shape the battlefield ahead of what will inevitably be another round of large-scale …
Read More »Iran Update Special Report, June 30, 2026
Key Takeaways Iranian officials are simultaneously employing diplomatic outreach and military coercion to pressure regional states to support a new “regional security mechanism,” likely to advance Iran’s long-standing objective of expelling the United States from the Middle East. Iran is likely using this proposed regional security mechanism to encourage Gulf …
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