Iran

Iran’s ‘Deal’: What Happens After Trump?

The Iranian regime’s strategy is clear: survive the pressure of President Donald J. Trump’s second term by any means necessary, secure breathing room through negotiations, and position itself for a far more aggressive posture once his administration is over. Iranian Parliament Speaker and chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf — Tehran’s …

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Iran Update Special Report, June 26, 2026

Key Takeaways Iran is using force in an attempt to maintain its control over the Strait of Hormuz in the immediate future. Iran is likely attempting to prevent vessels from using non-Iranian shipping channels with force in the immediate term as it continues negotiations with the Gulf Arab states to …

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Iran’s economic catastrophe

On February 28, 2026, American and Israeli forces launched Operation Epic Fury. The country they targeted was already in economic crisis: inflation had topped 50%, the currency was in free fall, merchants had shuttered their shops in protest, a major private bank had just collapsed. When the bombs began to …

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Iran Update Special Report, June 23, 2026

Key Takeaways Iran is taking steps to establish a joint mechanism with Oman to try to exercise long-term authority over the Strait of Hormuz. Such a mechanism would enable Iran to regulate transit through the strait and decide to restrict passage at its discretion. Recent increased vessel traffic through the …

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Iran Update Special Report, June 22, 2026

Key Takeaways The structure of the newly established “deconfliction cell” to oversee the ceasefire in Lebanon appears to constrain Israeli action against Hezbollah by eliminating the post-2024 ceasefire monitoring mechanism, which allowed Israel to act against Hezbollah ceasefire violations in certain circumstances. Both Iran and Hezbollah could materially benefit from …

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‘MIGA: Making Iran’s Regime Great Again’: Why Many Arabs Vehemently Oppose Trump’s MOU

[The Arabs’] objections are… the agreement strengthens Iran, weakens America’s credibility, ignores Tehran’s regional proxies, and leaves America’s allies vulnerable. “Trump and JD Vance are the OnlyFans of the Islamic regime in Iran. Trump promised America First but delivered MIGA: Make Iran’s Regime Great Again. In this MOU, America’s credibility …

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Iran Update Special Report, June 21, 2026

Key Takeaways Iran is attempting to use the sequencing of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding’s (MoU) clauses to make the United States meet Iranian demands regarding Lebanon and economic relief before Iran agrees to discuss nuclear issues. Iran and the United States held quadrilateral talks with Qatari and Pakistani mediators …

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