Les opérations de renseignement israéliennes en Iran ont alarmé Pékin, qui les a perçues comme un nouveau modèle de guerre du renseignement, ce qui a incité à une coopération technologique, sécuritaire et stratégique plus étroite avec Téhéran. Les experts militaires et les agences de renseignement chinoises décrivent de plus en …
Read More »Iran Update, February 20, 2026
Toplines Iran is unlikely to make any meaningful nuclear concessions in its upcoming draft proposal to the United States. Iran may calculate that it can delay the strikes if it offers a sufficiently conciliatory proposal, however. US President Donald Trump gave Iran on February 20 a deadline of “10 to …
Read More »Iran considers its response to potential renewed US-Israeli strikes
The United States’ rapid military buildup across the Gulf has triggered a familiar anxiety in Iran, but the Iranians’ reading of American intentions has grown sharper and more layered than at any point in recent years. Iranian officials and analysts now assume that the goal is neither a full-scale war …
Read More »Trump’s Military Options As Iran War Feared: Four Scenarios
There’s been no slowdown to the U.S. military buildup around Iran despite both sides engaging in nuclear talks this week. President Donald Trump has threatened the Islamic Republic with direct action if diplomacy doesn’t produce the desired results. And with a second aircraft carrier group headed to the Gulf, Trump’s …
Read More »Indirect U.S.-Iran De-escalation Talks: The “Zero Enrichment” vs. “Sovereign Right” Negotiations
The upcoming second round of high-stakes talks between Iran and the USA in Geneva (mid-February 2026) aims to curb Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for significant sanctions relief, potentially averting further regional military conflict. Oman acting as a key mediator will require to balance the obstinate positions off both sides. …
Read More »Iran cites ‘good progress’ in nuclear talks with US
Iran’s foreign minister said Tuesday that “good progress” had been made in indirect nuclear talks with the United States in Geneva, describing broad agreement on guiding principles for a potential deal even as tensions between the two countries remained high. The negotiations, mediated by Oman, took place in Switzerland against …
Read More »Turkish foreign minister warns of nuclear arms race if Iran gets the bomb
On February 9, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan suggested that Turkey would begin developing nuclear weapons should Iran obtain them. During a televised interview with CNN Turk, Fidan warned that Iranian nuclearization would upset the “balance of power” in the Middle East and likely initiate a regional nuclear arms race, …
Read More »Iran Update, February 16, 2026
Toplines The Syrian government is transferring all residents from al Hol internally displaced persons (IDP) camp in Hasakah Province to Aleppo Province and Iraq.[1] The government will close the camp in the coming days.[2] The Syrian government had reportedly planned to close both al Hol and al Roj IDP camps …
Read More »Another Iran “Deal” Is Less Important Than Exerting U.S. Leverage
U.S. envoys should be focused less on making a deal and more on how they can use the prospect of imminent military strikes to secure concessions on the nuclear issue, missile threats, treatment of protesters, and other matters. Nearly eight months after the twelve-day war, which saw the United States …
Read More »A “Good Deal” with Iran? Requirements for Preventing a Future Nuclear Breakout
Setting aside the broader array of deep Western policy concerns about Iran—including its terrorism sponsorship, direct and proxy aggression against Israel and the Gulf states, and brutal violence against its own people—what nuclear terms would negotiators have to insist on to avoid the setbacks of the JCPOA process and keep …
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