Iran

New Realities in the Persian Gulf: Why U.S. Security Guarantees Are Losing Their Luster

How the U.S.-Iran showdown has shattered the myth of an “unsinkable” defense umbrella—and why the Gulf monarchies are quietly shopping for a new guarantor. The “Oil-for-Protection” Deal That BackfiredFor generations, the strategic bargain between Washington and the Persian Gulf monarchies was strikingly straightforward: The United States guarantees the territorial integrity …

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À la frontière irakienne, l’Iran multiplie les attaques contre les groupes dissidents kurdes

Les forces militaires iraniennes ont récemment mené des frappes aériennes massives contre les bases militaires de milices kurdes iraniennes, situées au Kurdistan irakien (nord – ouest). Ces attaques, sans précédent, témoignent de la crainte de Téhéran de voir ces milices devenir plus offensives à la faveur de l’instabilité générée par …

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The US-Iran War and Greater Eurasia

It would not be much of an exaggeration to say that, in recent years, the Islamic Republic of Iran has been regarded by many observers as, if not the “weak link” in that part of humanity striving for a fairer world order, then, at the very least, the member of …

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Is Iran becoming a post-Islamic society?

Washington and Tehran signed a memorandum of understanding that has not stopped the exchange of fire in the Gulf but has already produced a renewed and more aggressive repression campaign inside Iran. This crackdown can be understood as the regime’s response to Iranians who had begun to imagine what their …

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The Failure of Israel’s Foreign Policy and the Emergence of a New Middle Eastern Security Order

Israel’s recent regional strategy has exposed significant limitations in achieving its long-term foreign policy objectives, illustrating the widening gap between military operations and strategic success. While Iran’s resilience and diplomatic positioning have accelerated the emergence of a more multipolar and diplomatically driven Middle Eastern security order. Carl von Clausewitz once …

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The US War on Iran Continues

The US continues to playact diplomacy with Iran regarding the latest “memorandum of understanding” (MOU) signed, then immediately violated by the US, renegotiated, and supposedly agreed upon again — using the pause in all-out war to carefully shape the battlefield ahead of what will inevitably be another round of large-scale …

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Iran Update Special Report, June 30, 2026

Key Takeaways Iranian officials are simultaneously employing diplomatic outreach and military coercion to pressure regional states to support a new “regional security mechanism,” likely to advance Iran’s long-standing objective of expelling the United States from the Middle East. Iran is likely using this proposed regional security mechanism to encourage Gulf …

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