The incident points to the myriad ways that U.S. adversaries might exploit Moscow’s efforts to claim a permanent stake in Syria’s needy postwar energy sector. This month, shipping data showed a U.S.-sanctioned oil tanker arriving in Syria with a load of Russian crude oil—hardly a surprise given that sanctioned vessels …
Read More »As Hezbollah Nervously Watches Iran, Washington Should Double Down on Disarmament
The possibility that its Iranian patron may be toppled is stoking Hezbollah’s existential fears, giving U.S. officials an opening to step up the pressure on Beirut, accelerate the disarmament process, and stave off looming Israeli escalation. On January 8, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi landed in Beirut with an economic …
Read More »Iran’s Regime Has Already Lost Its Most Potent Weapon
As protests grow, regime leaders have no clear options for scaring Iranians off the streets, intimidating foreign powers, or escaping their wider strategic crisis. For all the military weapons remaining in the Iranian regime’s arsenal, it has finally been deprived of the one that authoritarians rely upon most: fear. For …
Read More »Trump’s Iran tariffs: How will they impact the MENA region?
Countries across the region are assessing the fallout as the US moves to further isolate Iran’s economy US President Donald Trump on Monday announced new tariffs aimed at further isolating Iran’s already strained economy, as the country faces its largest wave of anti-government protests in years. Here is what we …
Read More »Iran regime cleanses streets of crackdown’s scars with banners and billboards declaring ‘victory’
Dispatch from Tehran: With relative calm restored, state media is dominated by talk of ‘national resistance’ against foreign sedition Mosques burnt down to the ground, banks flattened, street signs removed, and roads scratched and destroyed by tyre fires. Walking through the streets of Tehran and other major cities, the scars …
Read More »Iran Update, January 13, 2026
Toplines The Iranian regime is using an unprecedented level of brutality to suppress protests. The actual death toll is likely significantly higher relative to the 1,500 people killed during the 2019 protests, though CTP-ISW cannot independently determine the number of protester deaths. Western media outlets have reported death toll estimates …
Read More »Indicators of Iranian Regime Instability
The ongoing protests in Iran mark the most serious domestic unrest that the Islamic Republic has faced. The protests could alter the character of the regime fundamentally or even topple it. CTP-ISW currently assesses that the unprecedentedly brutal crackdown that the regime is conducting has broadly suppressed protest activity and …
Read More »Hamas Figures Express Support For Iranian Regime: The Protestors Are Agents Of Israel And The U.S.;…
In response to the mass protests in Iran, which are being brutally suppressed by the regime there, figures affiliated with and close to Hamas have voiced clear and unequivocal support for the Iranian regime, which for decades has assisted Hamas with weapons and funding and encouraged its terrorist activity.[1] According …
Read More »Airlines To Avoid Iranian, Iraqi Airspace, As Officials Warn War is ‘Imminent’
Lufthansa Group has announced its airlines will avoid Iranian and Iraqi airspace “until further notice” amid the escalating threats of a U.S. military strike from Donald Trump. The German company, which operates multiple airlines including Lufthansa, SWISS, Austrian Airlines, Brussels Airlines and Eurowings, also said it would avoid overnight flights …
Read More »US evacuates some personnel from Qatar air base amid Trump threat to strike Iran
Iran’s Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh warned Tuesday that Tehran will retaliate for any attacks on the country. The US military has begun evacuating some of its personnel from Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar as President Donald Trump weighs potential military strikes against Iran’s government, two officials briefed on the …
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