Kavkaz

Could escalating Iran-Israel tensions spill into the South Caucasus?

Analysis: Concerns are growing that ongoing tensions could impact the South Caucasus, where Iran’s neighbour Azerbaijan is a key ally of Israel. As Iran delays its retaliation to Israel’s assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, concerns are growing that the escalating tensions could extend beyond the Middle East and into …

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Will Georgia’s Eurasian Pivot Lead to Rapprochement With Russia?

Amid deteriorating relations with the West, Georgia has embarked on a long-term pivot toward Eurasia, with the potential for the further stabilization of relations with Russia. A series of developments in the past couple of months indicates there is a long-term breach emerging between Georgia and its Western partners. What …

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Iran reestablishes its presence in the Caucuses with Armenian arms deal

Iran and Armenia recently signed a $500 million arms deal, Iran International reported on July 24. The deal includes various military equipment Tehran will supply to Yerevan, including Shahed 136, Shahed 129, Shahed 197, and Mohajer drones, as well as air defense missile systems like the 3rd Khordad, Majid, 15th …

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Georgia Is The Next Country That Might Face A High-Profile Assassination Attempt

Aware that the window of opportunity for destabilizing their country might soon close, the Georgian Legion might desperately try to carry out a high-profile assassination attempt in the near future, even if it isn’t against the ruling party’s founder but someone else like the Prime Minister and they use a …

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Why Is Georgia Risking Its Relationship With The EU? – OpEd

From EU aspirations to political turmoilGeorgia’s relations with the West have seen better days. The country has recently found itself embroiled in controversy and diplomatic tensions, stemming from the passage of a controversial “foreign influence” law. This law has had far-reaching consequences, including the suspension of Georgia’s EU membership bid …

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A Golden Opportunity For Lasting Peace In The South Caucasus – Analysis

For more than three decades, Azerbaijan and Armenia have been locked in a state of war. Sometimes this has been in the form of a frozen conflict with little fighting. At other times the hostilities have been intense, costly, and bloody. Hopefully, the relationship between these two neighbors in the …

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Georgia’s Civilizational Dilemma: For Or Against Europe? – Analysis

On June 2, Speaker of the Georgian Parliament Shalva Papuashvili signed into law the controversial bill “On Transparency of Foreign Influence” as the parliament overrode Salome Zourabichvili’s presidential veto (see EDM, May 13, 22). The Russian-style “foreign agents” bill was originally withdrawn in 2023 under intense public pressure but was …

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Geopolitics Of The Central Caucasus – Analysis

For years, to avoid the confusion between Georgia the country, and Georgia the U.S. state, international media referred to the former as a post-Soviet entity. It seemed that only in the wake of the 2008 Georgian-Russian war (when Americans were finally assured that it was not their state being attacked) …

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Azerbaijan Sets Terms For USA, EU, And Armenia In South Caucasus Geopolitics – OpEd

Baku opens the Zangazur Corridor The collective West considers the possibility of the economic and commercial route connecting Europe and Asia passing through Iran as a geostrategic threat. In response, Western political circles have begun emphasizing the importance of opening the Zangazur Corridor to avoid this threat. This development is …

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Armenia Will Expose Itself To Serious Risks If It Goes Through With Leaving The CSTO

Azerbaijan and/or Turkiye might decide to forcibly “demilitarize” Armenia once Russia no longer has any CSTO mutual defense commitments to it in order to sustainably ensure that the regional threat of Armenian revanchism never returns. Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan announced that his country plans to withdraw from the CSTO at …

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