Middle Orient

«L’establishment politique et sécuritaire israélien», écrit Anna Barsky dans Ma’ariv, «surveille de près la situation dynamique dans l’arène américano-iranienne. Cependant, il n’y a pas de consensus … sur la direction dans laquelle Trump se dirige ; ni [même] si les États-Unis sont proches d’une décision – et si oui, quelle …

Lecture géostratégique et enseignements importants pour l’AES.I. La démonstration de force américaine : puissance affichée, vulnérabilités réelles Les États-Unis peuvent déployer une force écrasante (porte-avion, bombardiers B‑2, chasseurs F‑35/F‑22, milliers de soldats). Mais la puissance ne garantit ni la victoire stratégique ni la destruction d’un État préparé. Une armada impressionne …

Toplines Iran and the United States are expected to hold talks in Oman on February 6, despite the brief cancellation of the meeting on February 4.[1] Iran continues to show inflexibility toward addressing US demands, which reduces the likelihood that Iran and the United States will be able to reach …

Full Kurdish integration in Syria is one of the most important projects in the Middle East, but Washington must ensure it is accomplished without further violence, and without blowing the activities of various foreign players out of proportion. Following Hamas’ attack on Israel on 7 October 2023, Syria has become …

The Middle East has finally arrived at the grim reckoning long barreling toward it: a ruinous collapse of oil revenues that renders government deficits utterly unsustainable. Among the wealthy Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, four are running persistent annual budget deficits that are eroding their sovereign wealth reserves and plunging …

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The return would deepen Iran’s sway in Iraq and erode the post-2003 state institutions built by the US and its allies Nuri al-Maliki, the former Iraqi prime minister long seen as aligned with Tehran, is edging toward a political comeback, raising alarm in Washington just as the US heads into …

Key Takeaways Syria: The Syrian government and the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) agreed to extend their ceasefire in northeastern Syria for 15 days on January 24. The continued ceasefire will help ensure that the government offensive does not inflict lasting harm on US counter-Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham …

The US-backed, Kurdish-dominated Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) capitulated to the Syrian government in a ceasefire agreement on January 18.[1] The government compelled the SDF to agree after a combination of government operations and tribal uprisings caused the SDF to withdraw from nearly half of its territory and most of the …

Introduction It’s the strongman’s dilemma. When one leaves power — one way or another — does one pave the way for a successor? With an aging leader, Turkey may have to face that question sooner rather than later. There is no official confirmation, but sources allege that Turkish President Recep …