In an interview, Sergei Melkonian discusses Armenia’s and Azerbaijan’s careful balancing act among the United States, Israel, and Iran. Armenak Tokmajyan: How have Armenia and Azerbaijan responded so far to the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran, given their need to maintain good working relations with their large neighbor while avoiding antagonizing …
Read More »What Is Israel’s Plan in Lebanon?
At heart, to impose unconditional surrender on Hezbollah and uproot the party among its coreligionists. Israel is repeating parts of the military playbook it used against Hezbollah in 2024, but its strategy is different this time. It was evident, even before Hezbollah fired a handful of rockets toward Haifa in …
Read More »The Board of Peace and Funding for Gaza Reconstruction: On Whose Account?
Stakeholders must demand major restructuring of the Board of Peace and robust oversight and transparency before engaging with it. Until then, rights-respecting existing platforms and mechanisms for multilateral peacemaking should be supported. With world attention focused on the war spreading from Iran to the Middle East and beyond, multilateralism and …
Read More »Israel’s Forever Wars
The country’s strategy is no longer focused on deterrence and diplomacy, it’s about dominance and degradation. In launching war against Iran, Israel has made unmistakably clear that it is operating according to a strategic logic very different from the one that has long guided its statecraft. The United States may …
Read More »Iran Would Target Red Sea Shipping in Event of US Invasion: Local Media
Iran would target shipping in the Red Sea, a crucial conduit for global oil and other goods leading to the Suez Canal, if the United States launches a ground invasion, an unnamed military official told local media Wednesday. “If the enemy attempts a ground operation on Iranian islands or anywhere …
Read More »The Iran War’s Dangerous Fallout for Europe
The drone strike on the British air base in Akrotiri brings Europe’s proximity to the conflict in Iran into sharp relief. In the fog of war, old tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean risk being reignited, and regional stakeholders must avoid escalation. Two weeks into the massive U.S. and Israeli military …
Read More »Arabs Did Not Help the Gulf States: What Do they See as the Central Source of Instability in the Middle East?
While the Gulf states find themselves directly in the line of fire, their frustration is not directed only at Tehran, but increasingly at fellow Arab states whose response has been muted, symbolic, or absent altogether. As far as the Gulf states are concerned, the Arab response is just background noise. …
Read More »Spotlight on Iran and the Shiite Axis
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Read More »L’Iran aux troupes US : «Nous vous attendons depuis 20 ans». Mises en garde contre l’intervention terrestre
L’amiral Ali Akbar Ahmadian, représentant du Guide suprême de la Révolution islamique et de la République islamique au Conseil de défense iranien, a répondu aux informations de médias américains selon lesquelles l’administration américaine envisage une intervention terrestre en Iran. Selon le New York Times, le déploiement de la 82e division …
Read More »Guerre Israël-États-Unis-Iran : le piège du conflit asymétrique et l’érosion géopolitique de la puissance américaine
Trump est tombé dans un piège préparé de longue date : une guerre qu’il ne peut pas gagner, selon des règles qu’il ne maîtrise pas. Ce qui devait être une démonstration de force redessine aujourd’hui le Moyen-Orient et accélère un basculement vers un ordre international fragmenté et posthégémonique. Trump pris …
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