Middle Orient

From Gaza to the West Bank: Israel’s Unyielding War Machine

“A year of combat”—this is how Israel’s new Chief of Staff, Eyal Zamir, described 2025 at a conference organized by the Israeli ministry of defense. The exact sentence, translated from Hebrew, was: “The year 2025 will continue to be a year of combat.” The word ‘continue’ is crucial, suggesting that …

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ISIS Redux: The Central Syria Insurgency, Special Edition

ISIS carried out at least six confirmed attacks in November in the Homs, Hama, and Deir Ez Zor governorates, killing at least eight pro-regime soldiers and two civilians. There were also two high quality* attacks carried out during the month. ISIS attacks in central Syria declined for the third consecutive …

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Lebanon: President Aoun, PM Salam Form Government

Twenty-six days after Nawaf Salam was assigned to form a Lebanese government, the decrees for its formation were announced on Saturday from the Presidential Palace. President Joseph Aoun accepted the resignation of Najib Mikati’s government. The Council of Ministers is scheduled to hold its first session at the Presidential Palace …

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Post-Assad Syria Would Do Well To Retain Their Country’s Strategic Partnership With Russia

Just because a course of action is considered to be the most rational doesn’t mean that it’ll be pursued. Syrian Defense Minister Murhaf Abu Qasra told the Washington Post last week that the interim government might allow Russia to keep its air and naval base in the country so long …

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The Rise Of Right-Wing Extremism: Islamism In Damascus – Analysis

As early as 2011, during the initial days of the Arab Spring, I anticipated the rise of Islamist imperialism within the global rise of right-wing exclusionary movements. The events continued to follow that same catastrophic trajectory as the extreme right from Indonesia and the Indian Subcontinent to the Middle East …

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Iran Update, February 11, 2025

We do not report in detail on war crimes because these activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. We utterly condemn violations of the laws of armed conflict and the Geneva Conventions and crimes against humanity even though …

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 11, 2025

Note: The data cut-off for this product was 1pm ET on February 11. ISW will cover subsequent reports in the February 12 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reiterated Ukraine’s commitment to good faith peace negotiations with Russia and the particular importance of US military assistance to Ukraine’s …

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Panique dans le sud de la Syrie : Israël étend son occupation à toute la région

L’armée israélienne continue de bombarder la Syrie et d’attaquer ce qui reste de l’infrastructure militaire de l’ancien gouvernement. L’armée israélienne a étendu son occupation du sud de la Syrie le 9 février, poursuivant sa campagne de destruction des infrastructures appartenant à l’ancienne Armée arabe syrienne (AAS).

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Cut off one head and three others grow – Hezbollah’s Syrian Hub

New information has arisen about the way in which Hezbollah’s military and criminal operations in Syria is using its terrorist organization’s financial network. The modus operandi of this network brings together three elements of Hezbollah’s activity in Syria: weapon smuggling, drug trafficking operations and financing which make use of the …

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Iran Update, February 7, 2025

Information Cutoff: 2:00 pm ET The Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute and the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) publish the Iran Update, which provides insights into Iranian and Iranian-sponsored activities that undermine regional stability and threaten US forces and interests. Click here to see …

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