Middle Orient

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute are publishing two updates daily to provide analysis on the war with Iran. The morning update will focus on US and Israeli strikes on Iran and Iran and the Axis of …

When former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett said that Turkey, with the support of Qatar, was replacing Iran as Israel’s major strategic threat, his words were not just another warning about another enemy. Instead, his remarks reflected a broader anxiety: Israel could be entering a period of renewed conflict with …

Reza Pahlavi’s popularity and Iran’s mounting discontent raise the possibility of restoring a constitutional monarchy, a secular, democratic alternative increasingly viewed as a stable path forward after the Islamic Republic. “Now is the time to rise; the time to reclaim Iran. Let us all come forward and bring about the …

As long as Washington sees Iran at the edge of the Middle East rather than the center of “West Asia,” it will continue to fall prey to miscalculations. On February 28, the United States and Israel engaged in a military campaign against the Islamic Republic of Iran, eliminating its head …

With the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the temptation is strong to redraw Iran’s borders or install a friendly despot. The US should resist it. The US-Israel assassination of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has brought the Islamic Republic of Iran to its most uncertain power transition since the revolution …

Ali Khamenei has dominated Iran’s clerical system for nearly four decades and sidelined all potential rivals—meaning there is no obvious choice for his successor. Iranian state media has confirmed reports that Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Iran’s theocratic ruler since 1989, was killed in a US-Israeli airstrike. Khamenei’s death came amid …

In the objectively existing reality in which International Relations are unfolding, Russia has proven its reliability as an ally to the five countries that comprise the CSTO, while popular claims that it’s Syria, Venezuela, and/or Iran’s ally are bonafide “Potemkinism”, or nothing but an alternative reality. A popular Ukrainian media …

L’ayatollah Ali Khamenei, qui dirige l’Iran depuis 1989, a été tué par des frappes israélo-américaines sur son complexe à Téhéran, comme l’a annoncé la télévision iranienne (à 1 min 23 s de la vidéo ci-dessous) : Les États-Unis et Israël ont lancé ce qui est présenté comme «les frappes israéliennes …

L’élimination d’un chef suprême en exercice, si elle est confirmée, n’est jamais un simple événement tactique. C’est un basculement de structure. Un tel acte ne modifie pas seulement l’équilibre d’un État ; il redessine la grammaire du conflit régional et, parfois, la psychologie stratégique des puissances. L’assassinat d’Ali Khamenei ne …

• L’hostilité américaine envers l’Iran ne date pas de 1979 ; elle remonte à 1953, au pétrole et au contrôle d’un point de passage stratégique majeur au monde. • Ces derniers temps, si vous suivez l’actualité, vous avez probablement entendu la même chose se répéter sans cesse : les États-Unis …