The incident points to the myriad ways that U.S. adversaries might exploit Moscow’s efforts to claim a permanent stake in Syria’s needy postwar energy sector. This month, shipping data showed a U.S.-sanctioned oil tanker arriving in Syria with a load of Russian crude oil—hardly a surprise given that sanctioned vessels …
Read More »Building on Egypt and Israel’s Uneasy Gas Deal
Israel’s approval of the delayed export agreement is a welcome development, but U.S. officials should view it as the start, not the end, of efforts to ease tensions between two key peace partners. On December 17, Israel announced the largest natural gas deal in its history—a $35 billion agreement to …
Read More »As Hezbollah Nervously Watches Iran, Washington Should Double Down on Disarmament
The possibility that its Iranian patron may be toppled is stoking Hezbollah’s existential fears, giving U.S. officials an opening to step up the pressure on Beirut, accelerate the disarmament process, and stave off looming Israeli escalation. On January 8, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi landed in Beirut with an economic …
Read More »Prospects for Syria-Israel Relations
Israel may believe the tense status quo is sustainable, but Washington is frustrated about the potential implications for Arab normalization, Turkish military friction, and near-term economic plans. Prospects for more normal if not formally peaceful relations between Syria and Israel were diminishing in recent months. Thus it was positive that …
Read More »The SDF’s Approach to Integration Talks in Syria and the Risk of Expanded Conflict
Recent clashes between Damascus and the Kurdish forces in Aleppo highlight the risk that stalling integration talks may trigger broader violence. Since its signing on March 10, no tangible progress has been made on the eight-point agreement between the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the Syrian Interim Government to facilitate …
Read More »Iran’s Regime Has Already Lost Its Most Potent Weapon
As protests grow, regime leaders have no clear options for scaring Iranians off the streets, intimidating foreign powers, or escaping their wider strategic crisis. For all the military weapons remaining in the Iranian regime’s arsenal, it has finally been deprived of the one that authoritarians rely upon most: fear. For …
Read More »How Syria’s Aleppo clashes in Kurdish districts are impacting Iraqi Kurdistan
What began as clashes in Aleppo’s Kurdish neighbourhoods is now reshaping life in Iraqi Kurdistan, from street protests to media shifts and refugee tensions. Clashes between Syrian government forces and Kurdish armed groups in Ashrafia and Sheikh Maqsoud, Kurdish-populated neighbourhoods of Aleppo, have notably altered the political and social dynamics …
Read More »Palestinian engineer Ali Shaath tapped to administer devastated Gaza
Egypt, Qatar and Turkey said that former Palestinian deputy minister Ali Shaath would lead a new technocratic committee tasked with administering post-war Gaza. Gaza native and former Palestinian Authority deputy minister Ali Shaath will head the new technocratic committee set to administer the devastated Gaza Strip, mediating countries announced on …
Read More »Trump’s Iran tariffs: How will they impact the MENA region?
Countries across the region are assessing the fallout as the US moves to further isolate Iran’s economy US President Donald Trump on Monday announced new tariffs aimed at further isolating Iran’s already strained economy, as the country faces its largest wave of anti-government protests in years. Here is what we …
Read More »Iran regime cleanses streets of crackdown’s scars with banners and billboards declaring ‘victory’
Dispatch from Tehran: With relative calm restored, state media is dominated by talk of ‘national resistance’ against foreign sedition Mosques burnt down to the ground, banks flattened, street signs removed, and roads scratched and destroyed by tyre fires. Walking through the streets of Tehran and other major cities, the scars …
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