Recent Posts

Larijani, the Basij, and the Narrowing Path to Negotiation

Last night, Israeli officials announced that Ali Larijani — head of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council — and Gholamreza Soleimani — head of Iran’s Basij militia — were killed in separate overnight strikes.With strikes targeting the Basij and its leaders, the regime faces the prospect of the Persian New Year …

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Possible Implications if the Houthis Enter the War

Bottom Line Up Front Should the Houthis in Yemen enter the war, they could serve as a force multiplier for Tehran by further depleting U.S. and Israeli air and missile defenses and diverting combat missions from Iran to sites in Yemen. The Houthis would likely target oil tankers in the …

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Misplaced Assumptions Have Plagued U.S. War Efforts Against Iran

Bottom Line Up Front There are myriad assumptions by the Trump administration that have proven faulty thus far and have contributed to the devastation wrought by this conflict to date. In addition to misplaced assumptions, Washington’s strategic communications have hampered the military campaign. Tehran recognizes that it will not be …

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