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May 4, 2026 Eurasia
As the dust settles and the euphoria ebbs on the historic mid-April 2026 elections in Hungary, the consequences of Tisza’s resounding victory over Victor Orban’s Fidesz party will start to manifest to the north of Budapest, specifically in Poland, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia, the three other members of the …
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May 4, 2026 Eurasia
The Russian military continued to experiment with improving its employment of uncrewed aerial systems (UAS) in support of its maneuver forces. Both Russian and Ukrainian forces face coordination challenges and internal debates regarding the “ownership” of different depths of the battlespace and the command-and-control relationship between independent drone units and …
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May 4, 2026 Eurasia, Iran, Middle Orient
Key Takeaways Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei declared on April 30 that Iran will retain control over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and maintain its nuclear and missile capabilities, which supports ISW-CTP’s assessment that the Iranian regime is unlikely to make meaningful concessions in its next proposal to the United …
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May 4, 2026 Eurasia, Iran, Middle Orient
America Should End the War but Keep Up the Pressure When U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States was at war with Iran, he called on the country’s people to rise in revolt. “When we are finished, take over your government,” Trump said on February 28. “This will …
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May 4, 2026 Eurasia, Middle Orient
Consensus remains that oil market management is needed to avoid severe boom-bust cycles The UAE’s decision this week to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries came as a surprise to many, although the move had been years in the making. What is different now is the context in …
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May 4, 2026 Eurasia, Iran, Middle Orient
Key Takeaways Iran is unlikely to make meaningful concessions in its next proposal to the United States, which is expected in the next several days. Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Major General Ahmad Vahidi, whose hardline position on negotiations the regime has adopted, appears unwilling to concede on Iranian control …
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May 4, 2026 Eurasia, Middle Orient
Hier, les Émirats arabes unis (EAU) ont annoncé leur intention de quitter l’Organisation des pays exportateurs de pétrole (OPEP). Il s’agit d’une rupture qui aura probablement de graves conséquences pour la prospérité des EAU. Il s’agit d’une décision à long terme qui était attendue depuis longtemps et qui est indépendante …
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May 4, 2026 Balkans, Eurasia
La ligne Budapest-Belgrade est la première section du projet de chemin de fer Budapest-Belgrade-Skopje-Athènes, un projet symbole de la coopération entre la Chine et l’Europe centre-orientale qui reliera la Hongrie, la Serbie, la Macédoine du Nord et le port du Pirée, géré par la Chine. L’opérateur ferroviaire serbe de transport …
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May 4, 2026 Eurasia
L’histoire ne se répète pas, dit-on, mais elle bégaie souvent avec une régularité déconcertante. Les crises financières ne sont pas des accidents imprévisibles ; elles sont le produit de mécanismes profondément ancrés dans l’architecture du capitalisme. Identifier ces structures récurrentes n’est pas un exercice de nostalgie universitaire. C’est une radiographie …
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May 4, 2026 Eurasia
La Chine prendra-t-elle au sérieux le théâtre psychologique de la guerre impériale qui lui est menée ? J’ai vécu seize ans en Chine. Ce n’est pas un séjour. Ce n’est pas une mission. C’est un foyer – un foyer plus profond, plus authentique, plus permanent que le pays qui m’a …
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