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La bataille du détroit d’Ormuz

Si un porte-avions US est mis hors de combat, ce sera une catastrophe militaire & géopolitique sans précédent pour l’empire en pleine désintégration. Le souffle d’un grand danger se fait sentir. Depuis quelques heures, par un vent rugissant de sud-ouest (avec des rafales dépassant les 80 km/h), je contemple par …

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Iran Update Special Report, May 1, 2026

Key Takeaways US President Donald Trump stated that he is “not satisfied” with Iran’s latest proposal. Trump’s dissatisfaction with Iran’s latest proposal reflects continued Iranian inflexibility on key issues, such as the nuclear program and the Strait of Hormuz. Iran is exploiting the current ceasefire to try to reconstitute its …

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 1, 2026

Toplines Ukrainian forces struck Russian oil infrastructure in Krasnodar and Perm krais and Orenburg Oblast between April 29 and May 1, including a strike against the Tuapse Oil Refinery for the fourth time since April 1. The Ukrainian General Staff and Unmanned Systems Forces (USF) officials reported on May 1 …

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Lebanon’s Peace Without Paris: US and Israeli Strategies Reshape Diplomatic Dynamics and Raise Questions of Balance and Legitimacy

While negotiations proceed in Washington, France, despite its longstanding relationship with Lebanon, has been deliberately excluded. This exclusion underscores a US-Israeli preference for controlled mediation and raises concerns regarding the legitimacy and distribution of power in the process. The exclusion of France and the European Union from the 2026 Israel–Lebanon …

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The Iran War Shows the Limits of U.S. Power

If Washington cannot adapt to the ongoing transformations of a multipolar world, its superiority will become a liability. The Iran war is confronting the Middle East and the world with dramatic transformations. War realities are reshaping global supply chains and testing long-held alliances. They are also showing the limits of …

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Hungarian Elections: Ramifications for Central Europe

As the dust settles and the euphoria ebbs on the historic mid-April 2026 elections in Hungary, the consequences of Tisza’s resounding victory over Victor Orban’s Fidesz party will start to manifest to the north of Budapest, specifically in Poland, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia, the three other members of the …

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