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Is There A Possibility Of Ending Russo-Ukrainian War Before 2025? – Analysis

As the Russo-Ukrainian war enters its third year, there is considerable anticipation across Europe for its resolution, given the substantial human and material toll on both sides. Many questions loom over Europe regarding this protracted war, which unexpectedly erupted on the continent’s doorstep. Chief among these concerns is how will …

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Houthis Announce Expansion Of Attacks On Israel-Bound Ships To All Of Indian Ocean

Abdul Malik al-Houthi, leader of Yemen’s Ansar Allah, said on March 14 that his country’s armed forces will expand their attacks against ships moving to Israel from the Red Sea region to the whole of the Indian Ocean. Stating that attacks on Israeli ships in the Red Sea and Bab-al-Mandab …

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Geopolitical Risks And Reconfigurations: Serbia And The Challenge To Montenegro’s Stability – Analysis

Introduction In the turbulent Western Balkans, where history is followed by incomparable challenges and the ambitions of different parties, a small entity, but with a unique and important location, with access to the Adriatic Sea, puts itself at the center of a great international geopolitical game. A small territory, but …

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Will The UK Recognize A Palestinian State? – Analysis

David Cameron, the United Kingdom’s foreign secretary, recently announced the UK may recognize a Palestinian state before the Palestinians and Israelis finalize a peace deal, but that “no such move could come while Hamas remains in Gaza.” At the same time, the United States is reviewing options to recognize a …

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The Precarious Political Economy Of European Industrial Policy – Analysis

On 6 February, the European Union reached an agreement on the ‘Net Zero industry Act’, the bloc’s industrial policy that seeks to bolster domestic manufacturing of green tech. Amid intense geopolitical competition, the European Union is aiming to ‘derisk’ its green supply chains from China. The act sets ambitious goals …

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Iran Update, March 24, 2024

Key Takeaways: Northern Gaza Strip: The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) engaged Palestinian militias north of Gaza City, including in Beit Hanoun.Israeli forces continued operations near al Shifa Hospital, Gaza City, on March 24. CTP-ISW inaccurately reported on March 23 that the IDF had concluded its operation at al Shifa Hospital. …

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Egypt’s atrophy could revive the Brotherhood

The unprecedented political, economic, and social crises in Egypt may trigger a resurgence of the Muslim Brotherhood, which has historically filled gaps the state cannot meet. On the morning of 4 March, the State Security Criminal Court in Egypt sentenced the Muslim Brotherhood’s supreme guide Mohammed Badie to death, along …

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Why the Red Sea matters to Iran

Yemen’s Red Sea naval operations have drawn attention to Iran’s own strategic calculations for this vital maritime corridor, most of them driven by Tehran’s valid security and economic interests. The Red Sea has been a crucial historical nexus for Iran, with its roots tracing back to ancient times when the …

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To woo Washington, Erdogan will sell out Palestine

After Ankara and Washington successfully swapped Sweden’s NATO accession for an F-16 fighter jet deal, Turkiye is focused on accelerating that rapprochement and is willing to sweep divisive issues – like genocide in Gaza – under the rug. On 7–8 March, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and Intelligence Chief Ibrahim …

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The Battle of Rafah: a short step to regional war

All eyes are on Rafah as Israel prepares to mount an invasion to expel Palestinians or decimate them. It is this pivotal battle that will either force Israel into a ceasefire or thrust the region into an all-out, multi-front war. The temporary truce struck on 24 November between the Hamas …

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