Iran and Saudi Arabia appear ready to resume diplomatic talks following Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi’s shuttle diplomacy. Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi traveled to Saudi Arabia June 25 for a short visit before heading to Tehran the next day. The trip was reportedly designed to push talks between the …
Read More »TimeLine Layout
June, 2022
-
29 June
Iran’s foreign minister checks in with Ankara as Turkey courts Tehran’s foes
Iran’s foreign minister is meeting Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Ankara today. Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian was scheduled to be received by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Ankara today, part of an effort to manage growing tensions between the prickly regional rivals. Upon his arrival, Amir-Abdollahian said …
Read More » -
29 June
Syrian Kurds, Arabs join forces to defend Manbij ahead of Turkish military operation
The Syrian Democratic Forces are seeking Arab tribes’ support in Manbij, northeast of Aleppo, ahead of the anticipated Turkish military operation in northern Syria. Turkish armed forces and Turkey-backed Free Syrian Army (FSA) factions have mobilized on the outskirts of Manbij, which is under the control of the Kurdish-led Syrian …
Read More » -
29 June
Gas field in Iraq’s Kurdish region targeted by rockets
A gas field in northern Iraq’s Kurdish region was targeted by rockets on Saturday for the third time in four days, authorities said. The Counter-Terrorism Group, a security body in Iraq’s autonomous Kurdish region, said in a statement six rockets in total had hit the Khor Mor gas field, which …
Read More » -
29 June
Russian Military Forecasting and Analysis
The Military-Political Situation and Military Potential in Strategic Planning The Russian Ministry of Defense uses military forecasting to inform its long-term planning. Since the 1960s, Russian military analysis has applied comprehensive assessments of a country’s ability to wage war that go beyond weapons and formations. The Ministry of Defense uses …
Read More » -
28 June
Why the UK Should Expand Its Bosnia Sanctions List
While Bosnian Serb separatism has been put on hold for now, there are other actors destabilising the country who should be added to the UK’s sanctions regime. On 11 April 2022, the UK imposed sanctions on Bosnian Serb politicians Milorad Dodik and Željka Cvijanović. The two separatist leaders were the …
Read More » -
28 June
Beware Small Fires
As the world focuses on war in Ukraine, the risks and consequences of smaller conflicts should not be ignored. Western governments, security organisations, academics, think tanks and the media have in recent months understandably focused on the war in Ukraine. The conflict in Ukraine has radically altered the established security …
Read More » -
28 June
Russia’s Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons and Its Views of Limited Nuclear War
Russia’s nonstrategic nuclear weapons are designed to achieve deterrence and military success against a technologically superior opponent. They are unlikely to be deployed in Ukraine. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia’s nonstrategic nuclear arsenal has come to play an increasingly important role in its defensive plans. The definition …
Read More » -
28 June
Libya’s Expanding Proxy War May Be the Ultimate Test of NATO’s Resilience
With Egypt reportedly on the brink of invading neighboring Libya, and troops from Chad said to be on their way north to join Gen. Khalifa Haftar in his fight to topple the internationally recognized government in Tripoli, what was already a complicated proxy war could soon become Africa’s first full-on …
Read More » -
28 June
An Isolated Erdogan Learns the Cost of Hubris in Idlib
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan traveled to Russia on Thursday, seeking to persuade President Vladimir Putin to help stem disaster in Syria’s Idlib province. Turkish forces are locked in fierce combat there with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s army in what has become the last bastion of the armed rebels fighting …
Read More »