Central banks may keep interest rates higher for longer than currently priced; given investors’ benign inflation outlook and growing expectations for a soft landing, this could increase financial stability risks and weigh on growth Overall inflation has moderated meaningfully in recent months in the United States and euro area, as …
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July, 2023
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28 July
Ukraine Military Situation: Wagner Training Belarusian Military Elite Troops – Analysis
Wagner Begins Training the Belarusian Military’s Elite Units Open-source intelligence this week revealed that the Wagner Private Military Company has begun training elite units of the Belarusian Armed Forces in Belarus. Yevgeny Prigozhin’s fighters are now training the 38th Air Assault Brigade, which falls under the Belarusian Special Operations Command, …
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28 July
The Primacy Trap – Analysis
In the 2010s, the global landscape changed. The Arab Spring, the Russian occupation of Crimea, and China’s national security law in Hong Kong were indicative of a profound change in the global system. The era of the unipolar moment, when the United States was the world’s sole dominant power, has …
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28 July
Ukraine’s Manpower Requirements Reaching Critical Threshold – Analysis
Following Ukraine’s successful Kherson counteroffensive in the fall of 2022, the war in Ukraine has moved into the Materialschlacht, or war of attrition phase, which is rapidly depleting critical resources. Typically, when discussing resources in this sense, Ukraine is most often referring to the tanks, missiles, ammunition and other materiel …
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28 July
The War That Defied Expectations
What Ukraine Revealed About Military Power The Russian military was fast. So fast, analysts said, that the Ukrainian military stood little chance of resisting it in a conventional war. Moscow, after all, had spent billions of dollars upgrading the armed forces’ weapons and systems, reorganizing their structure, and developing new …
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27 July
Two Georgian Citizens Detained for Links to Terrorist ‘Islamic State’
The State Security Service of Georgia (SSG) announced on July 26 that it had detained two Georgian citizens on charges of supporting the Islamic State terrorist organization. The Security Service said the counter-terrorist operation was conducted simultaneously at four locations in two regions of Georgia. During these operations, officials reportedly …
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27 July
Türkiye detains 9 in anti-Daesh operation in Ankara
Turkish police have captured nine foreign nationals with suspected ties to the Daesh terrorist group, security forces said Wednesday. A joint simultaneous operation conducted by Ankara Anti-Terrorism Police Department and Intelligence Bureau targeted 10 foreign nationals in various locations across the capital, according to the sources who requested anonymity due …
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27 July
PKK terrorists caught mid-plan to attack Istanbul
The Interior Ministry announced Wednesday that two members of the terrorist group PKK were apprehended by gendarmerie troops in Istanbul. The suspects were plotting plans to carry out “a sensational attack” in Türkiye’s most populated city, the ministry said in a statement. The suspects, identified as Fatima al-Musa, codenamed “Sterk …
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27 July
Outlaw Superpower
In 1963, the summer I turned 11, my mother had a gig evaluating Peace Corps programs in Egypt and Ethiopia. My younger brother and I spent most of that summer in France. We were first in Paris with my mother before she left for North Africa, then with my father …
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27 July
Biden Is Plotting a Deal with Moscow over Ukraine
One of the main reasons Nato is proving to be so reluctant to provide Ukraine with a clear timeframe for membership is the stiff opposition the proposal has received from the Biden administration. In public, US President Joe Biden is keen to give the impression that he is fully committed …
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