Crisis Group’s work preventing conflict and shaping peace has a positive influence on crises around the globe. This Impact Note highlights cases in Afghanistan, Colombia, Ethiopia, Mali, Nagorno-Karabakh, the U.S. and Yemen, as well as our advocacy at the EU and UN and our research on climate and conflict in …
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April, 2023
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23 April
The New Generation of Palestinian Armed Groups: A Paper Tiger?
Young Palestinians have formed new armed groups across the West Bank. Small, disjointed and scattered, they lack a clear political agenda. But both Israel and the Palestinian Authority have found reason to exaggerate the threat they pose to the status quo. In the past couple of years, a new generation …
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20 April
The Impact of the Saudi-Iranian Rapprochement on Middle East Conflicts
On 10 March, Saudi Arabia and Iran agreed to restore diplomatic relations as part of a Chinese-sponsored initiative that appears aimed at reducing tensions across the Middle East. Crisis Group experts offer a 360-degree view of the implications for the region’s many flashpoints. On 10 March, representatives of Iran and …
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20 April
Germany And Nord Stream Sabotage: Victim Or Confidant? – Analysis
So far, Germany has been the blind spot in discussions over the Nord Stream sabotage. The economic disadvantages to the world’s fourth-largest economy from blasting the pipeline are too great. Of course, no one will seriously assume that the traffic-light coalition in Berlin stands behind the attack. However, the outwardly …
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20 April
Trivić, Dodik, Stanivuković – Who is Vučić playing in Republika Srpska?
In the political public of Serbia and Republika Srpska, there is speculation that Aleksandar Vučić and people close to the Serbian Progressive Party have begun to support Jelena Trivić, an opposition politician who entered the formation of an option whose name is irresistibly reminiscent of Vučić’s People’s Movement for the …
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20 April
Fighting between Sudan military rivals enters a second day, with dozens dead
Fierce fighting across Sudan entered a second day as months of tensions between a paramilitary group and the country’s army erupted into violence. Clashes around the army headquarters and presidential palace in capital Khartoum involved heavy weapons. There have also been reports of battles hundreds of miles away in the …
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19 April
AUKUS Warms Up The Taiwan Straits – Analysis
Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States (AUKUS) laid out the sail plan for Canberra’s $368 billion, multiyear program to acquire its own nuclear-powered submarine (SSN) fleet. It is Australia’s biggest defense buildup since the end of World War II and will induct it to an elite club of …
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19 April
Assertive (Dis)unity: Assessing Macron And Von Der Leyen’s Visit To China – Analysis
President Emmanuel Macron’s visit to China, along with the EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, comes after years of spiralling relations with Beijing over issues including blocked investment agreements, human rights violations, market access disagreements, and Beijing’s reluctance to condemn Russia over its actions in Ukraine. The joint visit …
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19 April
Big Changes In United Arab Emirates Foreign Policy – Analysis
Diversification and Less Confrontation After a Decade of an Activist Foreign Policy (FPRI) — The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is in the last two years intensively pursuing a diversified foreign policy. This stems in part from disappointment with American reactions to the Houthi drone attacks on Abu Dhabi in February …
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19 April
Russo-Ukraine War As A Black Swan Event: Potential Catalyst For A World War 3.0? –
Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine and supported separatist movements in eastern Ukraine in 2014. The conflict has escalated despite diplomatic efforts to pacify the situation, with both sides accusing each other of aggression and violations of sovereignty and international laws. The conflict is already devastating for the Ukrainian people and …
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