Recent Posts

What to know about Russia’s growing footprint in Africa

DAKAR, Senegal (AP) — Russia’s top diplomat pledged help and military assistance while on a whirlwind tour of several countries in Africa’s sub-Saharan region of Sahel this week, as Moscow seeks to grow its influence in the restive, mineral-rich section of the continent. Russia is emerging as the security partner …

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How Hamas Ends

A Strategy for Letting the Group Defeat Itself The war in Gaza has settled into a mind-numbing pattern of violence, bloodshed, and death. And everyone is losing—except Hamas. When Israel invaded the territory last fall, its stated military objective was to destroy the terrorist group so that it could never …

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Putin is now openly planning for war against Nato

We are still doing far too little to prepare for the eventuality that Russia is victorious in Ukraine Now that Russian President Vladimir Putin has secured his historic fifth term in office, it is patently clear that he will devote his next six-year spell at the Kremlin to pursuing his …

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Kremlin Seeks Greater Battlefield Effectiveness With Military Purge

Officials who were removed include both close associates of former defense minister Sergei Shoigu, and generals seen to have failed in Ukraine. President Vladimir Putin’s replacement of Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu with economist Andrei Belousov on May 12 was accompanied by a series of arrests and dismissals among the …

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Russia Will Never Accept an Armenian Withdrawal

Europe’s tempting of Armenia toward integration with Europe could end in disaster for Yerevan. For strategic reasons, Russia has openly or tacitly supported separatist or Eurosceptic movements in Europe (whether the United Kingdom’s “Brexit” from the EU, Scottish independence, or Catalan separatism) to weaken the unity of its rivals. Of …

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De-Europeanization in the EU’s Neighborhood

Being pro-EU does not win politicians many votes in the Western Balkans and the Caucasus. There, Viktor Orbán’s version of an illiberal Europe appears to be the union’s top-rated political export. It is election season in Europe. Starting today and until June 9, voters in twenty-seven EU member states will …

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Iran Update, June 5, 2024

Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Commander Maj. Gen. Hossein Salami threatened to retaliate against Israel for the June 3 airstrike that killed IRGC Quds Force Gen. Saeid Abyar in Aleppo, Syria.[i] Abyar was a member of the IRGC Quds Force and had been stationed in Syria since 2012.[ii] Salami stated …

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