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Future Scenarios for the Two Libyas

Cultural facts and latest developments If we study the culture of individual peoples and set out to see how they differ from each other, even ethnically and within the same country, we can easily understand what centrifugal forces are at work and, if necessary, prepare remedies to prevent the collapse …

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Trump’s Sham Peace Plan

There is no shortage of failed peace plans in occupied Palestine, all of them incorporating detailed phases and timelines, going back to the presidency of Jimmy Carter. They end the same way. Israel gets what it wants initially — in the latest case the release of the remaining Israeli hostages …

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 10, 2025

Toplines Russian forces launched a large, combined drone and missile strike against Ukraine on the night of October 9 to 10, primarily targeting energy infrastructure and civilian targets. The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russian forces launched two Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles from Lipetsk Oblast; 14 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles and …

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Iran Update, October 10, 2025

Toplines Israel and Hamas implemented a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip at 5:00 AM ET on October 10.[1] The ceasefire agreement does not address outstanding issues that were initially included in US President Donald Trump’s plan for peace in the Gaza Strip, such as Hamas’ disarmament, a full Israeli withdrawal, …

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La rivalité entre Moscou et Washington dans le monde turcophone

Le grand partenariat eurasiatique représente en effet la seule carte dont disposent Moscou et Pékin pour concilier leurs projets d’infrastructures dans la région. Tandis que l’administration Trump joue la carte de la séduction face aux «swing states» en les attirant avec de nouveaux accords énergétiques – comme celui proposé à …

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The Priorities of a New Franco-German Covenant

To defend Europe against geopolitical and economic turbulence, the Franco-German duo must be re-energised to act now. The war in Ukraine, the arrival of a new United States administration, the risk of being marginalised in a new geo-economic context and very low productivity growth in Europe call for strong Franco-German …

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How Russia Recovered

What the Kremlin Is Learning From the War in Ukraine The story of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been one of upset expectations and wild swings in performance. At the start of the war, most of NATO saw Russia as an unstoppable behemoth, poised to quickly defeat Ukraine. Instead, Russia’s …

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