The Pentagon’s “Defensive Arc” is not just a troop redeployment but a silent acknowledgment that Iranian deterrence has reshaped the regional battlefield and that US military dominance in the Middle East has become difficult to sustain. Is this a strategic calculation or a forced retreat? “Strategy without tactics is the …
Read More »La restructuration de l’ordre moyen-oriental dans une perspective de rivalité entre grandes puissances
Situé au carrefour géopolitique de l’Europe, de l’Asie et de l’Afrique, le Moyen-Orient contrôle les principales régions de production mondiale de pétrole et de gaz, ainsi que les trois principaux points de passage maritimes internationaux : le détroit d’Ormuz, le détroit de Mandeb et le canal de Suez. Depuis la …
Read More »Turkey is looking for new allies: Ankara called for an alternative to NATO
On July 18-19, 2026, Ankara became the venue for a landmark conference organized by the Party of the Motherland (Vatan Partisi). Its leader Dogu Perincek, a consistent supporter of rapprochement with Moscow, Beijing and Tehran, invited participants to discuss scenarios for preventing a global military conflict. The event was attended …
Read More »The UK, Turkey, and Europe Must Do More to Dismantle Hamas Financial Networks
Despite recent high-profile arrests, transatlantic authorities won’t be able to meet their longer-term goals of stabilizing and rebuilding Gaza unless they take broader action against still-rampant Hamas fundraising. On July 31, authorities in the United Kingdom arrested Mohammad Yousef Hasna based on U.S. charges that he was providing material support …
Read More »Pragmatism Could Draw Syria and Hezbollah Into an Accommodation
During the Syrian civil war, Hezbollah spent years fighting the factions now ruling Damascus. Now, even as Damascus intercepts the group’s weapons and disrupts its supply routes, Hezbollah’s Secretary General Naim Qassem is courting Syria’s new rulers. In a televised speech on August 4, Qassem expressed his willingness to meet …
Read More »Bosnia’s Mainly Serb Entity Ramps Up Lobbying Outlay under Trump
Donald Trump’s second term has coincided with a significant increase in lobbying efforts by Bosnia’s Republika Srpska entity, resulting, it seems, in the lifting of US sanctions on Milorad Dodik and his family and allies. Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Republika Srpska entity has spent almost as much on lobbying in the …
Read More »Spotlight on Iran and the Shiite Axis
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Read More »Trump, le poker perdant : comment la guerre en Iran a brisé l’illusion américaine
Trump a toujours joué la politique comme un poker. Il bluffe, il intimide, il relance. Face à Zelensky, il a gelé l’aide. Face à Netanyahou, il a envoyé des armes. Face à l’Iran, il a menacé de «niveaux de terreur jamais vus depuis la Seconde Guerre mondiale». Il a fait …
Read More »Le centre de gravité des futures relations étrangères de l’Iran
Dans son important article, le président Massoud Pezeshkian ne s’est pas contenté de décrire l’Accord d’Islamabad comme l’un des documents majeurs de la politique étrangère iranienne ; il l’a qualifié de «centre de gravité» des futures relations étrangères du pays. Les piliers de ce centre de gravité — le consensus …
Read More »L’avenir de l’économie européenne s’annonce plutôt sombre (interview)
Pierre Duval d’Observateur Continental a donné un entretien au magazine turc TEORI qui traite de géopolitique et de relations internationales. L’édition du magazine TEORI du mois d’août dresse un bilan de l’OTAN après son 36e sommet qui a réuni les chefs d’État et de gouvernement les 7 et 8 juillet …
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