Eurasia

Can Energy Ties Prevent an Azerbaijan–EU Rift?

While Baku appears inclined to pursue a “business only” arrangement with the European Union, it’s unclear whether that would be acceptable for Brussels.When the Azerbaijani flag was raised at the Council of Europe back in January 2001, many hoped it would be the beginning of Azerbaijan’s European path. Yet twenty-three …

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Moscow Terror Attack Spotlights Russia-Tajikistan Ties

The suspected shooters in the Crocus City attack were Tajiks, which has caused a backlash against labor migrants in Russia. Relations between Tajikistan and Russia, however, are unlikely to be impacted.Responsibility for the March 22 terrorist attack at the Crocus City concert hall near Moscow has been claimed by the …

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How Serious Are Ukrainian Drone Attacks for Russia?

If the scale of Ukrainian drone attacks is maintained at the levels of March and Russian air defenses do not improve, Ukraine will be able to keep damaging Russian refineries faster than they can be fixed, slowly but steadily eroding the country’s refining capacity.Since the beginning of the year, Ukrainian …

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Iran’s Order of Chaos

How the Islamic Republic Is Remaking the Middle East The Israel-Hamas war—and the possibility that it may explode into a wider conflagration—has upended the determined efforts of three U.S. presidents to pivot American resources and focus away from the Middle East. Immediately after Hamas’s October 7 attack, U.S. President Joe …

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‘No Chance of Peace Talks in the Short Term’

In recent months, there have been attacks by Ukraine on oil storage facilities and oil refineries, regular shelling of Belgorod and attempts to cross into Russian territory. At the same time, Russia is actively attacking on several segments of the front. Can we say that the war has entered a …

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Miletić: Reinstating the death penalty in Serbia is incompatible with membership in the Council of Europe

Goran Miletić, a member of the Standing Committee of NGOs of the Council of Europe, reminds that the return of the death penalty is a topic that we have had many times in the public life of Serbia and that experts have constantly explained that it is impossible and that …

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How do Iranians ‘Boil a Frog’? Slowly and methodically.

Iran’s apparent restraint in the face of Israeli aggression should not be mistaken for weakness. Tehran steadily applies pressure on Tel Aviv through its own methods, setting the stage carefully for Israel’s unravelling. A strategy in asymmetrical warfare is expressed by the “boiling frog” theory: Legend has it that a …

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Iran Update, April 7, 2024

Israel withdrew most of its forces from the Gaza Strip on April 7. Israeli officials and media sources have framed the withdrawals as part of their preparations for conducting a clearing operation into Rafah. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant announced on April 7 that Israeli “forces came out” of the …

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Iran is winning the Gaza war Tehran’s violent strategy could soon escalate

Amid the continuing destruction in Gaza and the surrounding global fallout, one thing becomes ever clearer. Even as Israel’s war stutters, Iran’s broader campaign against it, and by extension what we might call the American-led order, is growing in strength. Six months on from October 7, it’s hard to see …

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EU Enlargement: Exporting Stability Or Importing Instability? – OpEd

EU membership negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova are due to start this spring. Bosnia and Herzegovina has edged forward in the queue, and Georgia’s not far behind. There’s talk of Montenegro joining the EU by 2030. The EU has re-launched the enlargement process in record time because of the precarious …

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