The Trump administration is exploring options to arm Kurdish forces operating near the Iran–Iraq border with the aim of increasing pressure on the Iranian regime. The heavy concentration of Israeli strikes along Iran’s western border with Iraq suggests a deliberate strategy aimed at degrading Tehran’s defensive infrastructure in that region. …
Read More »The Lebanese Front: Hezbollah’s Gamble in an Existential Conflict
Hezbollah’s entry into the war has generated significant anger within the Lebanese government, which has long tolerated, accommodated, or at times been constrained by the group. If Israeli defenses are already engaged in intercepting longer-range missiles from Iran, shorter-range missiles from Hezbollah could be synced so that the probability of …
Read More »The Economic Fallout of the War with Iran
Disrupted energy markets due to continued hostilities are the most immediate economic challenge, with global reverberations, as the Strait of Hormuz is essentially unnavigable and crude oil prices continue to rise. Europe is highly dependent on energy imports from the Gulf after weaning itself off Russian energy after the full-scale …
Read More »The Four Paths for a Post-Khamenei Iran
The Islamic Republic is at an inflection point. Less than a week ago, the Islamic Republic lost its Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in a daytime Israeli air strike that stunned the world. And yet Khamenei’s regime fights on, firing ballistic missiles and drones at U.S. bases and diplomatic facilities, …
Read More »Iran Update Evening Special Report, March 6, 2026
Key Takeaways Russia is reportedly sharing intelligence with Iran to support Iranian attacks against US forces in the Middle East, which highlights the deepening cooperation between two major US adversaries. Iran may not have regular access to high-quality satellite imagery, even from commercially available sources, and may be relying on …
Read More »Iran Update Morning Special Report, March 5, 2026
Key Takeaways The combined force has continued to degrade Iran’s ballistic missile and drone capabilities to disrupt Iran’s ability to launch retaliatory attacks against Israel and US forces. The decrease in retaliatory Iranian drone and missile attacks strongly suggests that the US-Israeli effort to destroy Iran’s ballistic missile and drone …
Read More »Iran Update Evening Special Report, March 4, 2026
Key Takeaways The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted multiple strikes at several military compounds in southeastern Tehran on March 4 that house the headquarters of several services and branches of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) as well as other internal security forces. The IDF strikes could be part of …
Read More »How Israel and the FBI manipulated assassination plots to goad Trump into Iran war
“I got him before he got me,” an ebullient President Donald Trump remarked to a reporter when asked about his motives for authorizing the killing of Iran’s Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on February 28, 2026. With his off-the-cuff remark, Trump revealed that anxiety about his own assassination at the hands …
Read More »Debris from Israeli, Iranian escalation hits 18 locations in Syria
The Media Office of the Directorate of Disasters and Emergencies warned all residents in Syria about the dangers posed by falling military objects resulting from the ongoing regional escalation, describing them as “ticking bombs” that could explode at any moment. In a statement to Enab Baladi on Thursday, March 5, …
Read More »Who Will Be Iran’s Next Supreme Leader?
If the succession process can be carried out as Khamenei intended, it will likely bring a hardliner into power. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death on Saturday after U.S. and Israeli airstrikes hit his compound immediately re-invoked the succession issue inside Iran, along with threats from the U.S. president to interfere in …
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