Turkey

Türkiye Expands into the Middle East Void

Türkiye has been a chief geostrategic beneficiary of the setbacks to Iran and its “Axis of Resistance,” but its expanded regional influence has fueled new tensions with another regional power, Israel. Türkiye and Israel, despite some fundamental differences, recognize each other’s interests and respect their separate close relations with the …

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After Israel targets Hamas in Qatar, could Turkey be next?

Israel’s attempted assassination of the Hamas political leadership in Doha, Qatar, has shaken the Gulf region, which hitherto believed that Qatar’s status as a US ally and official mediator in the Gaza war shielded it from such an attack. Considering this willingness to attack Hamas in Qatar, Israel could conceivably …

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Turkey’s Quiet Relationship with ISIS

On June 29, 2014, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the leader of the Islamic State in al-Sham (ISIS), was recorded on video speaking at the al-Nuri Mosque in Mosul, Iraq. (“Al-Sham” is the traditional Arabic name for the Levant.) He declared himself to be the caliph or divinely inspired absolute ruler of …

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Turkey’s Push for Regime Change in Syria: The Jihadi Highway

Syria’s civil war broke out in March 2011, in reaction to the brutal crackdown by the regime of Bashar al-Asad of popular protests that were part of the wider Arab Spring. In supporting the Syrian rebels, Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan initially used the language of humanitarian intervention, claiming to …

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Turkey’s Neo-Ottoman Moment

Turkey’s Syria policy didn’t materialize in a vacuum. Rather, it was a reaction to the Arab uprisings that began in January 2011, known as the Arab Spring, which Turkish policymakers interpreted as a providential opportunity. The fall of entrenched dictators (in Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Yemen and, eventually, Syria) would, the …

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Turkey’s new precision weapons stoke regional tensions

In late July, Turkish defense contractors used the 2025 International Defense Industry Fair (IDEF) to showcase the latest additions to the country’s arsenal. Headlining the event were two striking developments: the “Tayfun Block-4” hypersonic ballistic missile and the “Gazap” bunker-busting, non-nuclear thermobaric bomb. Both weapons, now within the Turkish military’s …

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After Israeli intervention in Suweida, Turkey believes it’s next

In a notable shift with wide regional implications, Israel launched recent airstrikes targeting key Syrian army sites in Damascus and Suweida, claiming the strikes were necessary to “defend the Druze” amid fierce clashes between Druze militias and Sunni Bedouin tribes in Suweida. This escalation, according to analysts, places Turkey in …

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PKK disarmament opens new page for Turkey, Erdogan says

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan on Saturday called for full support of the disarmament of Kurdish militants that began with a handover of the first batch of weapons by Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) forces, a step he said opened a new page for the country. Thirty PKK militants burned their weapons …

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