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The end of the American century

From Rome to Washington, history is but the graveyard of empires condemned by their own excess; today, the Pax Americana falters under the lucid gaze of a global South ready to rewrite the terms of a new world. Indeed, from Rome to London, by way of Byzantium and Vienna, all …

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Syria, Lebanon, and Hezbollah: Strategic Influence Without Intervention, or an Impossible Return to Tutelage?

US President Donald Trump’s recent remarks about a potential Syrian role in addressing the “Hezbollah file” in Lebanon have reopened one of the most sensitive chapters in the shared political memory of both countries. The question extends far beyond whether Damascus can—or should—intervene militarily against Hezbollah. It raises a deeper …

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Strategic Signaling: Is Damascus Positioning Itself as a Mediator in Lebanon?

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa has effectively ended weeks of speculation over whether Damascus might deploy troops to Lebanon, following repeated public calls by U.S. President Donald Trump urging Syria to “resolve the Hezbollah issue.” The proposal had stirred widespread political unease in Lebanon, reviving memories of Syria’s decades-long military presence. …

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Iran’s ‘Deal’: What Happens After Trump?

The Iranian regime’s strategy is clear: survive the pressure of President Donald J. Trump’s second term by any means necessary, secure breathing room through negotiations, and position itself for a far more aggressive posture once his administration is over. Iranian Parliament Speaker and chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf — Tehran’s …

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 26, 2026

Toplines Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced on June 25 that he authorized a 40-day intermediate- and long-range strike campaign to influence Russia to end the war in Ukraine.[1] The Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) reported on June 26 that Ukrainian drones continued strikes against occupied Crimea as part of the 40-day …

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Iran’s economic catastrophe

On February 28, 2026, American and Israeli forces launched Operation Epic Fury. The country they targeted was already in economic crisis: inflation had topped 50%, the currency was in free fall, merchants had shuttered their shops in protest, a major private bank had just collapsed. When the bombs began to …

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