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July 4, 2026 Eurasia, Iran, Middle Orient
Although the understanding limits the prospects for direct confrontation between Washington and Tehran in the short term, it does not necessarily consolidate the basic pillars of a stable regional order, but may even lead to a gradual erosion of the US deterrent policy, especially as it reinforces the impression of …
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July 4, 2026 Eurasia, India, Middle Orient, South East Asia, Turkey
India is expanding ties with Greece, Cyprus, Armenia, and Israel to counter Turkey’s growing regional influence and its partnership with Pakistan. By strengthening defense cooperation and strategic partnerships, New Delhi is increasing its footprint in the Middle East and Eastern Mediterranean. As a result, the India–Turkey rivalry has the potential …
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July 4, 2026 Eurasia, Middle Orient
Real drivers behind new crisis escalation by US, Israel. Three Scenarios for Interpreting Israel’s Recent Aggression in the Region Perhaps the most significant outcome of recent developments is neither the outbreak of a full-scale war nor the collapse of negotiations. The region has instead entered what may be described as …
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July 4, 2026 Eurasia, Middle Orient
Interview with Tahsin Ertuğruloğlu, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) The Greek Cypriot Administration of Southern Cyprus (GCASC) and France have signed the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA). The agreement, which provides a legal framework for the deployment of French troops on the island and …
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June 29, 2026 Eurasia
From Rome to Washington, history is but the graveyard of empires condemned by their own excess; today, the Pax Americana falters under the lucid gaze of a global South ready to rewrite the terms of a new world. Indeed, from Rome to London, by way of Byzantium and Vienna, all …
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June 29, 2026 Eurasia, Iran, Middle Orient
Irrespective of whether a deal is reached to end the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, it seems likely that Tehran will continue to cultivate a network of proxy groups, including terrorist organizations, criminal entities, and so-called “disposable agents” both in the Middle East and abroad. Iran views its use of …
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June 29, 2026 Eurasia, Middle Orient
While the Islamic State (IS) remains territorially defeated in Iraq and Syria, emerging gaps in the region’s security landscape have incentivized the group to change its modus operandi. When looking quantitatively at IS operations, attack numbers have hit a historic low thus far in 2026, with two spikes in IS …
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June 29, 2026 Eurasia, Middle Orient
US President Donald Trump’s recent remarks about a potential Syrian role in addressing the “Hezbollah file” in Lebanon have reopened one of the most sensitive chapters in the shared political memory of both countries. The question extends far beyond whether Damascus can—or should—intervene militarily against Hezbollah. It raises a deeper …
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June 29, 2026 Eurasia, Iran, Middle Orient
The U.S. military launched a second round of airstrikes Saturday targeting Iran at President Donald Trump’s direction as Tehran hit both Bahrain and Kuwait, underscoring rising tensions that threaten the interim deal between the two nations to stop the war. The attack on Kuwait early Sunday was the first since …
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June 29, 2026 Eurasia, Middle Orient
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa has effectively ended weeks of speculation over whether Damascus might deploy troops to Lebanon, following repeated public calls by U.S. President Donald Trump urging Syria to “resolve the Hezbollah issue.” The proposal had stirred widespread political unease in Lebanon, reviving memories of Syria’s decades-long military presence. …
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