October, 2026

• 12 October

  With or without 7 October: Israel’s Gaza endgame was always ethnic cleansing

  

  In April 2023, six months before the 7 October attacks, Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a meeting with Yoav Gallant, his then defence minister, and Alon Davidi, the mayor of Sderot – an Israeli city built on top of the historic Palestinian village of Huj. Gallant and Davidi casually …

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• 12 October

  Can Yemen’s divided coalition turn the tide against the Houthis?

  

  When the Houthis launched attacks along Yemen’s western coast on 3 September, internationally recognised government-aligned forces were unprepared for what was the largest offensive since the ceasefire signed in 2022. Their response revealed a series of operational failures that allowed the Houthis to advance across 5,000 square kilometres, seizing the …

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• 12 October

  Is Iran losing control of the Strait of Hormuz?

  

  Analysis: Gulf states are shipping millions of barrels of oil through Hormuz, but that doesn’t change Iran’s ability to inflict pain on the global economy As Iran and the US take tentative steps towards a deal to re-open the Strait of Hormuz, there may be signs that Tehran’s biggest source …

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• 12 October

  Who will govern Gaza? The battle over its post-war future

  

  Khan Younis, Gaza Strip – A year after a US-brokered ceasefire halted Israel’s full-scale war on Gaza, the Palestinian technocrats appointed to govern the territory remain in Cairo, waiting for Israel to allow them to enter. Palestinian analysts say the delay is a symptom of a deeper problem over Gaza’s …

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• 12 October

  How Houthi military aggression in the Red Sea threatens Africa

  Growing ties between the Houthis and al-Shabaab could turn Red Sea instability into a more dangerous security threat for Africa. The United States-Israel February attack on Iran led to the Iran-backed Houthi militia of Yemen seizing territory at the entrance to the Red Sea, with grave potential consequences for Africa …

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• 12 October

  Declaration of the Carpathian Integration Initiative Summit

  We, the Heads of State and Government and representatives of the Republic of Austria, the Republic of Poland, Romania, the Republic of Serbia, the Slovak Republic and Ukraine, participants of the Carpathian Integration Initiative Summit, relying on the purposes and principles of the Charter of the United Nations, as well …

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• 12 October

  America Is Leaving Iraq, Not the Middle East

  

  America’s last troops have left Iraq, but anyone looking for a US withdrawal from the Middle East is looking in the wrong place. The end of the Iraq modelOn September 30, the United States completed the withdrawal of its forces and equipment from Erbil Air Base, formally ending the mission …

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• 11 October

  Spotlight on Iran and the Shiite Axis

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• 11 October

  Ukraine Disrupts Russia’s Donetsk Offensive

  

  Executive Summary Ukrainian forces have defeated the 2026 Russian campaign to seize Donetsk Oblast. Russian forces intended to conduct a deep encirclement of the entire Fortress Belt from the Lyman direction in the north and the Dobropillya direction in the southwest, linking up near Barvinkove, Kharkiv Oblast. This wide encirclement …

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• 11 October

  Why is Israel maneuvering to shift the Middle East conflagration to Africa?

  

  From David Ben-Gurion—the architect of a state whose foundations remain a subject of debate—to Benjamin Netanyahu, a master of maintaining constant tension, the “periphery doctrine” has remained a cornerstone of Israeli foreign policy. Its essence lies in forging alliances with states that surround hostile neighbors. Israeli authorities operate on the …

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