The purpose is to derail the peace talks by provoking Russia into either preemptively escalating against Ukraine as a deterrent or authorizing an overmatched retaliatory escalation right after that could in any case be spun by the Europeans to manipulate Trump against Putin. Putin warned on the fourth anniversary of …

Neutralising Tehran’s ability to close the strait is the decisive long-term move As a US “armada” assembles in the Arabian Gulf and Donald Trump signals that a deadline delivered to Iran is measured in days, the question now is what conflict would seek to achieve. The answer may lie less …

Toplines The fifth year of Russia’s invasion is not beginning well for Moscow. Recent Ukrainian successes on the battlefield disprove Russian claims that things can only get worse for Ukraine the longer Kyiv delays surrendering to Russian demands. Battlefield realities as of late February 2026 show that continued significant Russian …

Toplines Iran is continuing to prepare for a potential military conflict with the United States. Several unspecified Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Ground Forces units held an exercise on February 24 at the Madinah ol Munawarah Operational Base in Bandar Abbas, Hormozgan Province, and on unspecified Persian Gulf islands.[1] Madinah …

The commander of Internal Security in Latakia governorate, Brig. Gen. Abdul Aziz Hilal al-Ahmad, confirmed the killing of the leader of “Saraya al-Jawad,” Bashar Abdullah Abu Raqiya, along with two of the group’s commanders, during a security operation on the Syrian coast. According to a statement published by the Ministry …

Tensions between Washington and Tehran are rising by the day. But while much of the commentary focuses on what might happen inside Iran, more immediate danger likely lies to Israel’s north. Lebanon is shaping up as the second front of a widening confrontation. Israel has stepped up its air campaign …

In keeping with its reputation as Hamas’s most vocal cheerleader on the international stage, Turkey has announced new measures to stifle Israel’s international trade. Specifically, Ankara will refuse to issue certificates for Israel-bound exports that would enable them to avoid certain steep customs duties. Having already declared a trade embargo …

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Lors de la Conférence de Munich sur la sécurité, le secrétaire d’État américain Marco Rubio a prononcé un discours apparemment conciliant, qui masquait pourtant un projet idéologique profond : la normalisation des politiques civilisationnelles inspirées du MAGA dans les relations transatlantiques.

Convergence cyclique, influence géopolitique et raisons pour lesquelles l’énergie redevient la principale couverture du marché. La restructuration que nos modèles avaient correctement anticipée pour le premier trimestre 2026 traduit une réévaluation structurelle en cours, et non une période transitoire de volatilité macroéconomique. Elle est de plus en plus influencée par …