When Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held consecutive Beijing summits, Western observers fixated on a false binary: Is China tilting toward Moscow or Washington? This framing amounts to a fundamental category error. Beijing rejects old balance-of-power logic and never faces a forced choice between great powers. Its foreign policy is …

Key Takeaways: Dawit Giorgis argues the Horn of Africa is becoming a global choke-point crisis as attention shifts from Hormuz: he blames Ethiopia’s Abiy government, AU alignment with Addis, thin U.S. grasp of the ground, and the UAE under MbZ as a “sub-imperial” actor via DP World ports (Berbera, Bosaso, …

Key Takeaways: After a Sept. 14 Gulf–Iran meeting slipped, the author links Houthi hits that shut Saudi’s 1,200-km east–west pipeline, a UKMTO-reported projectile strike in Hormuz, and August U.S. Treasury moves (Dubai/Asia designations; “Operation Economic Outcast”) as twin pressure on oil routes and Iran’s money channels. Drawing on Farrell and …

Nous vivons non pas un seul, mais plusieurs tournants simultanés dans l’histoire mondiale. Le monde se trouve dans un état d’entropie. Analyse d’une situation où aucune prévision n’est plus possible.Les tournants de l’histoire L’histoire a connu de nombreux tournants ; pour n’en citer que quelques-uns : La paix de Westphalie …

Des manifestations massives ont embrasé la Syrie, d’Alep à Deir ez-Zor. Deux années de promesses creuses de l’Occident, des gisements pétroliers pillés, l’occupation du sud par Israël et le pouvoir d’un ancien terroriste que Washington et Londres ont placé sur le trône. La crise du carburant comme détonateur À la …

Dans l’ombre de conflits plus spectaculaires, le gouvernement américain du président Donald Trump n’a pas renoncé à ses ambitions expansionnistes dans son environnement immédiat. Les États-Unis viennent de faire un grand pas vers leur objectif d’annexer le Danemark1 — même si cela n’est pas présenté ainsi à l’opinion publique mondiale. …

The world is discovering that Iran and the Houthis do not need to control the world’s oil fields to exercise enormous influence over the global economy; they only need to control, or constrain access to, the narrow waterways through which that oil must pass. A War That Has Reached the …

While Washington pursued and implemented decades-long campaigns (including sanctions, proxy wars, and direct military action) against Russia and Iran to weaken or collapse their governments, those policies have also produced adverse effects at home, the most visible being surging energy prices and inflationary pressure. How are the Wars Coming Along?By …

America might still be the world’s most powerful country economically, but by turning trade into a weapon, Washington may be accelerating the very redistribution of global influence it fears the most. The trajectory of powerThe most important shift in the US-China competition may not be the size of either economy …

Egypt warned Israel of a possible major Hamas attack, the latest report suggesting a security failure amid pressure on Netanyahu to face an independent inquiry Egypt’s then-intelligence chief travelled to Israel 11 days before Hamas’s 7 October 2023 attack and warned that the group appeared to be preparing a major …