The war between the United States and Iran has now entered its seventh month, with no clear off-ramp in sight. It has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, despite U.S. military claims, through which around 20 percent of global oil trade, as well as a significant proportion of liquid natural …
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War deepens Saudi Arabia’s expatriate jobs slump
Saudi Arabia’s expatriate jobs boom is fading as economic uncertainty from the Iran war deepens a hiring slowdown already underway after cutbacks at state-funded companies, recruiters have told AGBI. Search executives said the job market has become increasingly competitive since the war began, with fewer openings, tighter salaries and an …
Read More »Beyond Tariffs: The Geopolitical Unravelling of the U.S-Canada Partnership
The U.S.-Canada relationship is entering a period of strategic change as economic tensions, U.S. pressure and Canada’s push for diversification challenge the foundations of their traditional partnership. From Closest Partners to Strategic FrictionThe Trump administration imposed 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, in response to which Ottawa has imposed retaliatory 15%- …
Read More »The Geopolitical Balance in the Red Sea: The UAE Being Displaced by New Players
The persistence of current geopolitical alignments, the attention of Eastern actors to the region, the strengthening of Sanaa’s position in the Red Sea, and the expansion of regional opposition to the UAE’s role will diminish Abu Dhabi’s role in the region. UAE approachFor the past ten years, the Southern Red …
Read More »L’hypothèse de l’empire sabordé
«L’expérience sociale en Chine réalisée sous l’égide du président Mao est une des plus importantes et des plus réussies de l’histoire de l’humanité…» (David Rockefeller, New-York Times, 1973) «Je ne suis pas un numéro, je suis un homme libre !» (n°6, «Le prisonnier» série TV, 1967)Partie 1 Cette analyse est …
Read More »The War of Endurance: Russia, Ukraine, and the Struggle Behind the Front Lines
Introduction The Russo-Ukrainian War, if dated to Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea, is the longest running conflict in Europe since the French Revolutionary and Napoleonic Wars (1792-1815). It may come to resemble not just these wars in duration and social destruction, but the Thirty Years War (1618-1648) as well. One …
Read More »Exclusive: Turkey’s Erdogan Says Russia-Ukraine War Risks Spreading to NATO
Growing tensions surrounding the Russia-Ukraine war risk bringing the conflict within NATO’s borders, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has warned. “We do not disregard the risk of the Russia-Ukraine war spreading to a wider region,” Erdogan told Newsweek in an exclusive interview. “Allegations of sabotage and hybrid activities in Europe …
Read More »Hungarians and Czechs Cool on Ukraine’s ‘Carpathian 8’ Ambitions
More amenable partners Poland, on the other hand, as Ukraine’s strongest ally in the region, was represented by Prime Minister Donald Tusk and showed the clearest interest in the C8 format. For Poland, the appeal of the C8 appears to lie in the overlap between security and cross-border infrastructure. Projects …
Read More »From insurgents to regional force: Why Yemen’s Houthis are so difficult to fight
On 10 September, Ansar Allah, also known as the Houthis, captured the Red Sea port city of Mocha during a major offensive against Yemeni government-aligned forces. The group then advanced south, reportedly reaching the coastal town of Dhubab on 11 September, before moving against strategic islands near the Bab al-Mandeb …
Read More »Can Baghdad ever bring Iraq’s militias under state control?
A relative pause in fighting between the United States and Iran that ended in early September has brought the region back into a state of geopolitical tension. As the exchange of strikes, retaliations, and signalling between Washington and Tehran continues, there is a heightened expectation from Washington that the US …
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